journal6 ›› 2010, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (2): 48-54.

• Physics and electronics • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Earthquake Forecast  and New Theoretical Research


  1. (Department of Physics,Yunnan University,Kunming 650091,China)
  • Online:2010-03-25 Published:2012-04-18

Abstract: Some theories of earthquake forecast are reviewed,in which the magnitude-period formula of earthquake proposed by the author and its quantitative forecast are especially expounded.Next,the nonlinear seismology,the Lorenz model,chaos and fractal,etc.,are discussed.Moreover,the Lorenz model may be obtained from the basic equations of synergetics.Finally,the periodicity of earthquake may be proved from various different aspects,and some corresponding theories are researched.The precision of earthquake forecast,in particular,the short-time forecast power,will be improved if various methods of forecast are widely combined.

Key words: earthquake, forecast, nonlinearity, periodicity

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