吉首大学学报(自然科学版)

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韶山市红色旅游与农业和工业相关性分析

向延平   

  1. (湖南女子学院旅游系,湖南 长沙 410004)
  • 出版日期:2016-09-25 发布日期:2016-10-01
  • 作者简介:向延平(1973—),男(苗族),湖南绥宁人,湖南女子学院旅游系教授,博士后,硕士生导师,主要从事旅游管理研究.
  • 基金资助:

    湖南省社会科学基金资助项目(15YBA209);湖南省教育厅科学研究项目(15C0704)

Analysis on Correlation Between the Red Tourism and the Agriculture,Industry Development in Shaoshan City

XIANG Yanping   

  1. (Tourism Department, Hunan Women's University,Changsha 410004,China)
  • Online:2016-09-25 Published:2016-10-01

摘要:

选取韶山市2001—2015年旅游收入(YL)、农业产值(YN)和工业产值(YG)等进行相关性、方差和协整分析,分析结果表明,韶山市旅游收入与农业产值、工业产值相关性系数分别为0.913 2和0.975 5,说明韶山市红色旅游与农业、工业发展高度密切相关;韶山市旅游收入和农业产值的协方差为219.480 3,旅游收入和工业产值的协方差为673.624 8,说明韶山市红色旅游与农业相关性小于韶山市红色旅游与工业发展相关性;韶山市旅游收入与农业产值、工业产值协整性分析,log YL和log YN序列不存在协整关系,说明韶山市红色旅游与农业发展融合度不明显;log YL和log YG序列存在协整关系,说明韶山市红色旅游与工业实现融合发展.建议韶山市应加大红色旅游与农业、工业融合发展.

关键词: 旅游收入, 农业产值, 工业产值, 相关性

Abstract:

The correlation analysis,variance analysis and cointegration analysis are conducted based on the data of tourism income (YL),agriculture product (YN) and industry product (YG) from 2001 to 2015 in Shaoshan city.The results show that the correlation coefficients of the tourism income (YL),the agriculture product and the industry product in the Shaoshan city are 0.913 2 and 0.975 5 which indicates that the Red Tourism and agriculture,industrial development are closely related in Shaoshan city.The covariance value of the tourism income and the agricultural product is 219.480 3 and the covariance value of the tourism income and industrial product is 673.624 8 which indicates that the association of the red tourism with agriculture is less close than that of the red tourism with industrial development.Through the cointegration analysis of the tourism income and agricultural product, industrial product,there is no cointegration relationship between log YL and log YN which indicates that the co-development of the red tourism and the agriculture is not obvious; there is a cointegration relationship between the log YL and log YG which indicates that the co-development of the red tourism and the industry is obvious.Therefore, it is necessary to increase the co-development of the red tourism and the agricultural,the industry in Shaoshan city.

Key words: tourism income, agriculture production value, industrial production value, correlation coefficients

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